NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR Program kicks into high gear Sunday Together with All the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET for your 325-lap race and defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the most current 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds. Falling in just supporting him with 6-1 NASCAR in Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four final week at the Daytona 500. Before you make your 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, make sure you check out the projected leaderboard from the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and current results into account.

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It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the start. Anybody who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we can tell you the version is high on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott does not have a long history at Atlanta, but he has had success there in all three of his starts at the track since joining the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished within the top 10 in each of those races and even got a top-five finish in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five occasions in his career, so it is something of a house monitor for its 23-year-old. The version anticipates him to ride that edge to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the model: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a season ago, but ended up finishing in seventh place. The year before, he had another fast ride and started the race in third, but wound up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has only run 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better worth within this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll want to cover him.

The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR at Atlanta chances of 10-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.

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