This week, we have a 13-fight card at Boise, Idaho. It’s headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, that will be making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests with this card because it is just a Fight Night card with lesser known title, but there is still well over $100k to be obtained. I will be chasing my fair share of that money and I trust you guys will be . Listed below are a few plays I like this weekend and my fade of the week.
Money Game play of the week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I believe Volkanovski is the”safest” drama on this particular card and also his -300 gaming lineup would concur with me. That is where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure out the rest from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points during his first four UFC fights therefore he’s got a ton of upside too. He could potential score over two winners with this card combined. I do think he is in play for GPPs as well for that reason, but he will probably be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we do not care about ownership as much in money games. I’d suggest paying up for the costly cost on your cash games and then look for three or more others wins you are confident in.
GPP drama of the week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS should be the way better striker in this fight and I think this is where the fight will occur. He could get KO’d in the opening minutes of this battle and score 0 points, but that is what makes him a GPP play instead of a money match play. With these two Heavyweights, we need to likely see a KO inside the 25-minues and I think the former champion, JDS, are the one to get it. He’s got great takedown defense so he should be able to keep this fight on the toes where he will have a 4-inch reach advantage to use.
Underdog play of this week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko is going to be my underdog play of this week. The odds indicate that the fight ought to be fairly close and there is a good chance that he utilizes his wrestling to gain the benefit. In 5 fights that he has not seen a decision however, and there is a chance it remains that way if he gets Brown to the ground. Niko includes some slick entrances in his arsenal along with a lot of heart. On the feet, Brown likely has the advantage with his reach, but Cost does have any sneaky power too, which can’t be overlooked. All in all, I like this as a GPP play.
Fade of the week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he’s just $100 cheaper than Volkanovski. In my opinion, Perez will need a end to really have a shot at paying that expensive salary and that I don’t wish to invest in that, personally. He’s never landed more than one takedown at a fight and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, so we should see this fight take place on the feet. I think Perez needs to be the one to get his hand raised in the conclusion but I think it will be via conclusion. If that’s the case then he could score ~60 points in a win, and also at $9.1k that is not likely to win anyone a tournament. I’ll be full fading Perez this week and hoping he does not get the finish and he’s my official evaporate of this week.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on every struggle, my personal approaches & suggestions, and my selection outlook for every fight then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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