NEW YORK YANKEES 100-62 | 2019 Projection: 102 Wins
WIN 62 percent OF NEUTRAL FIELD SIMULATIONS
The normal season went as expected. They won 100 games versus an anticipated win total of 100. They won 58 percent on the street which was expected (58 percent ). They won 53 at home and were expected to acquire 53. Our projected record for following season is similar. They are averaging 102 wins per sim and are projected to finish first in the American League. There’s not a lot of gap between them along with the #3 ranked Red Sox who are projected for 100 wins. They’re a contender with a 15.2% chance of winning the World Series according to simulations and a 25% chance of accomplishing the sequence. Even with the juice, they are a good futures betting value with championship chances of 6/1, 14.3percent and chances to win the AL in 11/4, 26.7%. They are the favorite to win the AL East at 53.5percent but they are not a fantastic value to acquire the division at 4/5 (55.6percent ) odds.
HOUSTON ASTROS
Had they not had a firesale of the top talent this off-season they would have been projected to win almost 90 games and would have been real contenders. Their 103 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +1.4 above what oddsmakers’ money line projected. The season went better than expected. Their strength was in street games. They gained 70.4% over the street which was much better than expected (58.9percent ). They won 46 in the home and were expected to acquire 53.8. Expect a similar record following season. In our latest simulations they are averaging 102 wins and are estimated to finish second in the American League. There is not a lot of gap between them along with the #3 rated Red Sox that are projected for 100 wins. They’re a competition with a 18.9% chance of winning the World Series according to simulations and a 32% probability of reaching the Series. Even with the juice, they are a good futures betting value with championship chances of 6/1, 14.3percent and odds to win the AL in 11/4, 26.7%. The Astros are not as good as the Yankees when they all had the exact same schedule and same branch. However, given their overwhelming favourite standing to win their division (84 percent in simulations. 1/8, 89% likelihood ) they have a much greater prospect of preventing the Wild Card match and then have the best chance of winning it all out of their American League.
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