This week, we have a 13-fight card at Boise, Idaho. It’s headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, who will be making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller competitions for this card since it’s just a Fight Night card using lesser known title, but there is still well over $100k to be obtained. I’ll be chasing my fair share of the money and I hope you guys will be . Listed below are a few plays I like this weekend and my fade of the week.
Money Game play of the week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the”safest” drama on this particular card and his -300 gaming lineup would agree with me. That is where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure the rest out from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points through his first four UFC fights therefore he has a ton of upside as well. He could possible score over two winners with this particular card combined. I really do think he is in play for GPPs too for that reason, but he will likely be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we do not care about ownership as much in cash games. I would suggest paying for the costly price tag on your cash games and then look for at least 3 others wins you’re confident in.
GPP play of the week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS ought to function as way better striker inside this fight and I think this is where the battle will take place. He could get KO’d at the opening seconds of the fight and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP drama instead of a money game play. With these two Heavyweights, we should likely find a KO within the 25-minues and that I think the former champion, JDS, are the one to receive it. He’s got great takedown defense so he ought to be able to keep this fight on the toes where he’ll have a 4-inch reach advantage to work with.
Underdog play of the week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko is going to function as underdog drama of the week. The odds demonstrate that the fight should be rather close and there is a great possibility he utilizes his wrestling to obtain the advantage. In 5 fights he hasn’t seen a decision however, and there is a chance it stays that way if he gets Brown to the floor. Niko has some slick entrances in his arsenal along with a lot of heart. On the feet, Brown likely has the benefit with his reach, but Cost does have some sneaky power also, which can not be overlooked. Overall, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of the week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he is only $100 less expensive than Volkanovski. In my opinion, Perez will require a finish to really have a shot at paying that expensive salary and that I don’t want to invest in that, personally. He has never landed more than 1 takedown in a fight and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, so we must see this fight take place on the toes. I believe Perez should be the person to get his hands raised in the end but I think it’s going to be through decision. If that’s the case then he can score ~60 points in a win, and also at $9.1k that isn’t likely to win anybody a tournament. I will be full fading Perez this week and hoping he does not get the finish and he is my official evaporate of the week.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each fight, my personal approaches & recommendations, and my selection outlook for every single fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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